續(xu)(xu)(xu)航(hang)焦(jiao)慮、充電(dian)(dian)慢、怕起火 兄弟(di)們(men)(men)，這(zhe)些是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不(bu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)大家(jia)對(dui)當下新(xin)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)源汽車(che)(che)(che)(che)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)擔憂？ 而(er)解(jie)決這(zhe)些痛點的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)，可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)真(zhen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)要(yao)來(lai)了(le)！?先(xian)(xian)(xian)劃(hua)重點：咱們(men)(men)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)買(mai)到(dao)(dao)(dao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)車(che)(che)(che)(che)可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)最(zui)快2027年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)就(jiu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)見到(dao)(dao)(dao)，2030 年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)就(jiu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)普(pu)及！ 那(nei)為啥(sha)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)這(zhe)個時(shi)(shi)(shi)間？今天咱們(men)(men)好好聊聊?從目前(qian)各家(jia)車(che)(che)(che)(che)企(qi)(qi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)動作來(lai)看(kan)，現(xian)在(zai)(zai)行業(ye)已經進(jin)入沖(chong)刺階(jie)段(duan)(duan)： 寧德時(shi)(shi)(shi)代2025年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)先(xian)(xian)(xian)量(liang)產(chan)(chan)(chan) 半固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)，2027 年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)再(zai)規模化生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)全(quan)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi) 廣汽、長安、奇瑞這(zhe)些車(che)(che)(che)(che)企(qi)(qi)更(geng)激進(jin)，計劃(hua)2026年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)就(jiu)有車(che)(che)(che)(che)型(xing)搭(da)載(zai)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)，續(xu)(xu)(xu)航(hang)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)到(dao)(dao)(dao)1500公里。 而(er)說(shuo)(shuo)到(dao)(dao)(dao)技術(shu)(shu)突(tu)破(po)，前(qian)段(duan)(duan)時(shi)(shi)(shi)間央(yang)視新(xin)聞和(he)央(yang)廣網都(dou)報道了(le)我國科(ke)學家(jia)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)重大進(jin)展(zhan) —— 以(yi)(yi)(yi)前(qian)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)解(jie)質像(xiang)脆陶瓷(ci)，電(dian)(dian)極(ji)(ji)卻軟如橡皮泥，倆材(cai)料貼不(bu)緊實(shi)，鋰(li)離子(zi)跑不(bu)動。 現(xian)在(zai)(zai)中科(ke)院團隊用 "碘(dian)離子(zi)膠水" 自動填縫，金屬(shu)所給電(dian)(dian)解(jie)質加了(le) "柔(rou)性(xing)骨架" 能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)彎折 2 萬(wan)次，清華大學還(huan)做了(le) "氟(fu)化物(wu)(wu)保護殼"，120℃高(gao)溫(wen)都(dou)不(bu)炸，這(zhe)才(cai)(cai)打通了(le)量(liang)產(chan)(chan)(chan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)關(guan)鍵瓶頸。 可(ke)以(yi)(yi)(yi)說(shuo)(shuo)全(quan)球(qiu)巨頭都(dou)在(zai)(zai)搶(qiang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)賽道，中國企(qi)(qi)業(ye)又走在(zai)(zai)前(qian)面。?但(dan)(dan)在(zai)(zai)這(zhe)兒得澄清幾(ji)(ji)個常見誤會：首先(xian)(xian)(xian)，很多人(ren)以(yi)(yi)(yi)為現(xian)在(zai)(zai)車(che)(che)(che)(che)企(qi)(qi)說(shuo)(shuo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de) "固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)" 是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)全(quan)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)，其實(shi)大多還(huan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)半固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)，還(huan)含 10%-20% 液態(tai)(tai)(tai)成(cheng)分(fen)，就(jiu)像(xiang)果凍似的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de) 其次，有人(ren)覺得固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)量(liang)密度一定(ding)更(geng)高(gao)，其實(shi)得看(kan)材(cai)料 —— 用老材(cai)料反(fan)而(er)可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)更(geng)低(di)，得搭(da)配(pei)金屬(shu)鋰(li)負極(ji)(ji)這(zhe)些新(xin)技術(shu)(shu)才(cai)(cai)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)突(tu)破(po) 1000 公里續(xu)(xu)(xu)航(hang) 還(huan)有人(ren)說(shuo)(shuo)它絕對(dui)安全(quan)，其實(shi)硫(liu)化物(wu)(wu)路(lu)線(xian)短路(lu)時(shi)(shi)(shi)可(ke)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)生(sheng)有毒氣(qi)體(ti)(ti)，只是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)換(huan)了(le)種風險而(er)已。?再(zai)看(kan)市場前(qian)景，固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)可(ke)不(bu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)只給汽車(che)(che)(che)(che)用，儲(chu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)、無人(ren)機這(zhe)些領域已經開始試水，龐大的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)需(xu)求(qiu)會倒逼技術(shu)(shu)成(cheng)熟。更(geng)關(guan)鍵的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)成(cheng)本，現(xian)在(zai)(zai)全(quan)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)材(cai)料成(cheng)本是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)液態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de) 4 倍，像(xiang) 100 度的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)包要(yao) 20 多萬(wan)，但(dan)(dan)隨著大量(liang)企(qi)(qi)業(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)規模化生(sheng)產(chan)(chan)(chan)，估計要(yao)到(dao)(dao)(dao)2030年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)成(cheng)本才(cai)(cai)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)降70%，和(he)現(xian)在(zai)(zai)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)鋰(li)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)差(cha)不(bu)多。?最(zui)后說(shuo)(shuo)咱們(men)(men)消費者最(zui)關(guan)心的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)啥(sha)時(shi)(shi)(shi)候能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)買(mai)，是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)不(bu)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)很貴？ 行業(ye)分(fen)析認為，2027年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)首批全(quan)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)車(che)(che)(che)(che)會先(xian)(xian)(xian)裝在(zai)(zai)高(gao)端車(che)(che)(che)(che)型(xing)上 能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)體(ti)(ti)驗(yan)充電(dian)(dian) 10 分(fen)鐘跑幾(ji)(ji)百公里的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)快感，也能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)避開液態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)起火風險 到(dao)(dao)(dao)2030年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)，20-30 萬(wan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)平民車(che)(che)(che)(che)型(xing)就(jiu)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)用上，續(xu)(xu)(xu)航(hang)輕松超(chao) 1000 公里，徹底告別續(xu)(xu)(xu)航(hang)焦(jiao)慮。 簡單總結(jie)：2027 年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)確(que)實(shi)能(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)(neng)買(mai)到(dao)(dao)(dao)固(gu)態(tai)(tai)(tai)電(dian)(dian)池(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)(chi)車(che)(che)(che)(che)，但(dan)(dan)選(xuan)擇(ze)少、價格高(gao) 所以(yi)(yi)(yi)2030 年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)才(cai)(cai)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)真(zhen)正的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)普(pu)及年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)，技術(shu)(shu)成(cheng)熟、價格親民。 你會選(xuan)擇(ze)先(xian)(xian)(xian)吃螃蟹嘗嘗鮮還(huan)是(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)(shi)等成(cheng)熟了(le)再(zai)換(huan)車(che)(che)(che)(che)呢？